THE BULLETIN BOARD
Why Tesla turned
A recorded snapshot of Oct 19-30, 2026. Daily updates start soon. Every important turn in Tesla’s price, minute by minute, with what a research agent could and couldn’t find out about it.
Explanations are written after the fact. They describe past price moves, they may be wrong, and they are not investment advice or a forecast.
PeakTroughProvisional, not settledScheduled releaseOutside regular hoursExplained by newsMoved with the marketPartial linkNo clear cause or not judged yet
The major turns and their moves
How the curve and the turns are made
The curve smooths one-minute closes. A turn counts only when the price has moved back by an amount scaled to how much this stock has been moving. A hollow mark is not settled yet; a filled mark never moves. A research agent checks dated sources after the fact, and the engine rejects anything published after the turn as a cause. A scheduled release in the same window can also support a cause, and the card says so. A partial link explains the move into a turn, not why the price turned at that minute. Day prices are minute bars, so they can differ by cents from the official open and close.
A major move runs from one major turn to the next and counts once, in this order. Explained by news: a dated source shows an event before most of the move. Partly explained, when the move’s own research names a reason specific to Tesla whose timing or fit could not be shown. Moved with the market: QQQ went the same way between the same two minutes and, scaled by how Tesla usually moves against it, accounts for at least half of the move. That is a fact about the two minutes, not proof of why. Then any other partial link, then not explained.
By size adds up the dollars moved between major turns and counts each move under what its card says. A partial link is not a proof. Moved with the market looks only at QQQ at a move’s two ends. Many ordinary stretches pass that test, so it says the two went the same way, not why. The largest stretch has the most dollars inside that day; its percent is the whole move’s. A dotted line joins one session to the next: the market was closed, and nothing is drawn as if it traded.